Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 13.348369 15.303793 17.393771 19.787826 22.448201 25.307623 28.607108
2025-07-27 10.622077 13.256837 16.266789 19.936896 24.266777 29.187528 35.176328
2025-08-03 8.632935 11.522257 14.998966 19.444854 24.929100 31.420509 39.627931
2025-08-10 7.247751 10.255144 14.039213 19.076496 25.524244 33.413594 43.699020
2025-08-17 6.163447 9.201870 13.183525 18.677877 25.943586 35.093978 47.341706
2025-08-24 5.309544 8.336514 12.455779 18.330226 26.330495 36.668606 50.831408
2025-08-31 4.537057 7.484928 11.646647 17.772045 26.349806 37.704574 53.599160
2025-09-07 4.082751 7.038360 11.348289 17.868512 27.220614 39.857058 57.870591
2025-09-14 3.671302 6.606640 11.023206 17.882605 27.946842 41.809728 61.909133
2025-09-21 3.359847 6.294863 10.841699 18.076403 28.913161 44.102285 66.462222
2025-09-28 3.040403 5.933279 10.547918 18.068965 29.566080 45.956758 70.443941
2025-10-05 2.856185 5.778008 10.559916 18.517697 30.897144 48.803562 75.892288
2025-10-12 2.658912 5.583558 10.498235 18.852748 32.081609 51.497820 81.240686
2025-10-19 2.444498 5.334932 10.325342 18.993576 32.965992 53.774677 86.049874
2025-10-26 2.148836 4.901047 9.800996 18.520857 32.858227 54.557416 88.677613
2025-11-02 1.906556 4.539912 9.369838 18.167061 32.906945 55.557102 91.632645
2025-11-09 1.687558 4.197840 8.941767 17.784255 32.877965 56.419681 94.386689
2025-11-16 1.499582 3.895773 8.559470 17.450443 32.902172 57.349329 97.250031
2025-11-23 1.307782 3.560036 8.083498 16.914574 32.553606 57.667520 99.165362
2025-11-30 1.207943 3.415211 7.961673 17.007178 33.265628 59.680477 103.750625
2025-12-07 1.108762 3.259182 7.803992 17.020706 33.835590 61.474214 108.029752
2025-12-14 1.035459 3.155129 7.741891 17.206752 34.708330 63.778050 113.165610
2025-12-21 0.950372 3.011041 7.584810 17.199612 35.234077 65.521298 117.442976